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Mar 12, 2009

no production & no profits = lower emissions...

Boston Globe: New figures being released today show the recession helped drive down global warming emissions from Northeast power plants last year to their lowest levels in at least nine years.
The drop in emissions may be good for the environment, but was not seen as reason for celebration. "What does this say about the state of the economy?" said Robert Rio, senior vice president of Associated Industries of Massachusetts "We could get 100 percent below the cap if we shut every business and moved them out of state."

The reduction in emissions came with another drawback: It has the unintended effect of delaying a longer-term and potentially more important effort to reduce greenhouse gases over the next decade.

The initiative sets a cap on carbon emissions that is designed to slowly fall over time.

The complex arrangement, called a "cap and trade" plan, works like this: Power plants obtain emission allowances from states for every ton of carbon dioxide they emit, with plants that emit larger amounts having to obtain more allowances than cleaner ones. As the cap is reduced, there are fewer available allowances, pushing the price up and thus encouraging the dirtiest power plants to instead invest in cleaner technologies. Over time, cleaner power plants will then out-compete dirtier ones.

But with emissions now about 17 percent below the cap, allowances are not in particular demand, so market forces are not kicking in. Emission allowances are not expected to get high enough anytime soon to spark investment in clean energy.

That lesson is an important one for the Obama administration as it crafts its own "cap and trade" program designed to reduce the nation's greenhouse gas emissions. If the cap is set too high, little happens. Continued...

Hard news as US senators attack cap-and-trade for climate change because it amounts to a painful tax during a deep recession, senators argued Wednesday. "Now is not the time to put a national sales tax on every electric bill and every gasoline purchase," Republican Senator Lamar Alexander, who sits on the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee, told reporters. "I'm open, as are several Republicans, to cap-and-trade, but it's getting ...