Oct 15, 2009

inconvenient, inarguable, unstoppable Carbon foot print fun facts...

Please review these numbers against our current path and policies...

Figure 42. World Coal Consumption by Country Grouping, 1980-2030 (Quadrillion Btu).  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.#1 inarguable fact - Any and all Cap' N Trade programs by the U.S. and Europe that does not include non-OECD countries would be futile to reducing global emissions. (94% of  world coal consumption will be non-OECD)


#2 inarguable fact - No proven, hypothetical or hoop dream of carbon storage (CSS) could handle this load or secure its long term storage.


I will now let IEA finish with other inarguable facts:

IEA - Coal's share of world energy consumption increases from 27 percent in 2006 to 28 percent in 2030.   

In the IEO2009 reference case, world coal consumption increases by 49 percent over the projection period, —generally reflecting the growth trends for both world GDP and world primary energy consumption. Regionally, increased use of coal in non-OECD countries accounts for 94 percent of the total growth in world coal consumption over the entire period. 


Coal's share of total world energy consumption increases to 28 percent in 2030 in the IEO2009 reference case.


International coal trade grows by 40 percent in the reference case ... in 2030.


OECD Countries 

...Despite increases in North America and OECD Asia, coal consumption in the OECD countries, which represented 37 percent of the world total in 2006, declines to 27 percent of the total in 2030.  Figure 45. Non-OECD Coal Consumption by Region, 1980, 2006, 2015, and 2030 (quadrillion Btu).  Need help, contact the National Energy Information Center at 202-586-8800.


Non-OECD Countries 

Led by strong economic growth and rising energy demand in non-OECD Asia, total coal consumption in the non-OECD countries increase 73 percent ... which represents 94 percent of the projected increase in total world coal consumption, underscores the continuing importance of coal in meeting overall energy demand in the non-OECD nations.


Over the entire IEO2009 reference case horizon, coal accounts for about one-third of total non-OECD energy consumption. 


World Coal Trade 

At the end of 2008, in response to the global economic crisis, worldwide demand for coal imports fell precipitously, and the ensuing coal supply glut prompted many mines in coal exporting countries to lower their production levels. Although the break from intense global coal demand could provide an opportunity for coal trade infrastructure—including mine, rail, and port capacity—an opportunity to catch up with the previous years' fast-paced growth, many infrastructure projects in the early stages are likely to be deferred


Already the world's leading exporter of coal, Australia dominates future international coal trade in the reference case as it continues to improve its inland transportation and port infrastructure to expedite coal shipments to international markets.

Gav, lets make it seam gas ;-)


Please read full from source: IEA

NOTE - If you don't like math, stay off the caulk board.