Many gloom and doomers want the entire world to follow the media hyped Mayan, any New Age, ancient, or prophecy idea of 'the end' being 2012. Which I unequivocally DO NOT endorse.
Yet in reality the truest "2012" scenario may be the environmental impact of excessive energy consumption predicted at EDRO
While I think the by 2012 timeline is VERY pessimistic, the ideas in their analysis are more realistic than any 2012 scenario being sensationalized in the media. SORRY - FOR A DOOM POST ON FRIDAY...
EDRO uses a dynamic model simulations to analyzing Collapsing Cities
From EDRO Below table lists the world's cities that are likely to collapse completely or partially by or before 2012¹ in the first wave of collapse. The collapse would be caused by a combination of failing ecosystems, human-enhanced environmental catastrophes; failing infrastructure; food, water and fuel shortages; infectious disease; war, civil conflict and other dynamics. Following the first phase of collapse, massive waves of human migration from the affected areas create a domino effect that causes the collapse of the remaining population centers shortly after.
The Dynamics of Collapse
The following exhibit lists the most probable [leading] causes that would drive the first wave of world's cities to collapse. [Note: Data is listed alphabetically]
- Accumulation of toxic pollution in the environment
- Civil conflict
- Collapse of fisheries/fish species
- Collapse of natural pest regulation systems
- Corporate mass homicide
- Deforestation
- Desertification
- Droughts
- Economic collapse
- Epidemics of plant and animal diseases
- Excessive energy consumption
- Extreme climatic events (including extreme rain events, floods)
- Failing ecosystems
- Famine
- Foodborne, waterborne, airborne and insectborne infectious diseases (viral, bacterial, parasitic, fungal, prion)
- Fuel shortage
- Global collapse of pollinators
- Habitat destruction
- Human-enhanced natural catastrophes including earthquakes, floods, tsunamis, hurricanes, tropical storms, cyclones, extreme rainfall events, landslides, volcanic eruptions, droughts and wildfires …
- Human-induced climate change
- Increased UV radiation
- Industrial accidents (including radionuclide, chemical and oil spills)
- Inordinate prevalence of psychopathology caused by exponential growth economy: money fetishism, industrialism, militarism, atomistic lifestyles, consumerism, throwaway culture, dysfunctional societies
- Land use change
- Loss of Topsoil
- Loss of Will to Live
| - Mass migrations
- Mass murder/suicide as a result of neurological disorder caused by mercury [other heavy metals,] poisoning, biochemical poisoning, contaminated food and water supplies, tainted drugs especially vaccines
- Moral decline (unethical behavior, unsustainable lifestyles, overconsumption)
- New Strains of Superbugs, super bacteria, killer fungi
- Overshoot of Carrying Capacity; Increased ecological footprint; Overpopulation (esp. DCs*)
- Overwhelmed by mounting waste: agricultural, municipal (garbage and sewage) and industrial
- Poor global harvest/Food scarcity [Humans are one harvest away from starvation!]
- Poverty
- Running Dry (Running out of freshwater)
- Sinking into the ground (large-scale subsidence caused by overuse of groundwater supplies)
- Societal collapse
- Soil degradation (salination, erosion)
- Spread of pandemic diseases
- The American Dream (and its global equivalents)
- The death of truth, surrender of concreteness to abstractions, defeat of 'right' by 'sight,' loss of reason [and the essential faculties needed] to advance to the future
- Tourism [euphemistically, eco-tourism]
- War (conventional and nuclear)
- Unnamed mechanisms
- Unknown causes or new mechanisms of collapse
|
Important Notice: 1. The date "2012" is based on the dynamic model simulations analyzing the environmental impact of excessive energy consumption. The CASF Committee and Members do NOT endorse Mayan Calendar, any New Age, ancient, or bible prophecies whatever.
The number of people affected by disasters has risen by 68 percent, from an average of 174 million a year between 1985 to 1994 to 254 million a year [4% of world population.]
